Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 19.250026 22.236699 25.465295 29.206279 33.412731 37.987369 43.329616
2025-09-21 13.927561 17.993122 22.811286 28.900813 36.346242 45.104854 56.135174
2025-09-28 10.585935 14.975200 20.573578 28.145153 38.012095 50.317839 66.692270
2025-10-05 9.308032 14.159165 20.716604 30.063610 42.849944 59.509495 82.595203
2025-10-12 8.252326 13.389573 20.697403 31.598411 47.140400 68.148919 98.259639
2025-10-19 7.114535 12.276586 19.982711 31.975331 49.736828 74.561652 111.238293
2025-10-26 6.158729 11.265331 19.241666 32.151343 51.948075 80.467066 123.763314
2025-11-02 5.254622 10.180236 18.221680 31.738619 53.166001 84.928218 134.391926
2025-11-09 4.467944 9.159926 17.157448 31.099658 53.911293 88.649224 144.052718
2025-11-16 3.793732 8.225332 16.105123 30.335894 54.336324 91.832551 152.995378
2025-11-23 3.170078 7.278177 14.902521 29.167972 53.961238 93.683703 159.916023
2025-11-30 2.925857 7.033882 14.922951 30.101564 57.109174 101.232584 176.058318
2025-12-07 2.638651 6.686258 14.766290 30.807474 60.106708 109.018861 193.522916
2025-12-14 2.247653 6.052656 13.992731 30.325625 61.046048 113.577574 206.220282
2025-12-21 1.885730 5.408859 13.103159 29.510940 61.295402 116.962653 217.153497
2025-12-28 1.816744 5.445911 13.625575 31.504327 66.838992 129.731482 244.482767
2026-01-04 1.718679 5.391514 13.940816 33.101369 71.741155 141.637985 270.917760
2026-01-11 1.542479 5.099092 13.688671 33.493563 74.349444 149.603722 290.917798
2026-01-18 1.374402 4.792084 13.358344 33.676742 76.544357 156.921661 310.111944
2026-01-25 1.192378 4.403592 12.778331 33.247140 77.463501 161.923963 325.396225
2026-02-01 1.023140 4.011141 12.128268 32.581995 77.830576 165.886986 338.958889
2026-02-08 0.871664 3.634182 11.457443 31.786835 77.844708 169.150193 351.356781
2026-02-15 0.724954 3.230860 10.650628 30.570691 76.845083 170.368744 359.970971